Is War Inevitable?

John A. Quayle blueoval57 at VERIZON.NET
Tue May 6 21:30:41 MDT 2008


/*[Well, will America get into another war - this time with Iran? Pat 
Buchanan weighs in below. - JAQ:]*/



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Patrick J. Buchanan
Is It Jaw-Jaw or War-War?
by Patrick J. Buchanan 
<http://www.humanevents.com/search.php?author_name=Patrick%20J.+Buchanan>
Posted: 05/06


Is war with Iran inevitable, even imminent? Or is peace at hand?

 From the public diplomacy of the administration, either conclusion may 
be reached.
Consider.

"West Offers Iran 'Refreshed' Deal," ran the headline in the May 3 
Washington Times. The story described an offer to Iran, agreed to by all 
five members of the Security Council -- the United States, Britain, 
France, Russia and China -- of a sweetened grand bargain, if Tehran will 
suspend its enrichment of uranium.

Blessing the offering in London was Condi Rice.

Details will not be made public, but the offer is said to include 
Western aid to Iran for a civilian nuclear program, a light water 
reactor and a five-year stock of enriched uranium held for Iran by the 
International Atomic Energy Agency.

America's contribution would be support for Iran's admission to the 
World Trade Organization, a conference to discuss regional security in 
the Gulf, a U.S. offer to sell Iran spare parts for its U.S.-built 
civilian aircraft and a beginning of the lifting of three decades of 
U.S. sanctions.

News of this offer, plus the relaxed mood in Washington, which is 
utterly unlike the tense atmosphere prior to March 2003, suggests that 
war with Iran is far from the mind of this city.

But to take the warnings and threats of the civilian and military 
leaders of this administration at face value would lead one to conclude 
the opposite -- that war with Iran is indeed inevitable, and probably 
soon. Consider.
 
Last month, Gen. David Petraeus was asked by Joe Lieberman, "Is it fair 
to say that the Iranian-backed special groups in Iraq are responsible 
for the murder of hundreds of American soldiers and thousands of Iraqi 
soldiers and civilians?"

"It certainly is. ... That is correct," answered the general.

The next day, Petraeus testified, "Unchecked, the 'special groups' pose 
the greatest long-term threat to the viability of a democratic Iraq."

Petraeus has since been promoted to command of all U.S. forces in the 
region.

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, known as an opponent of war on Iran, 
followed Petraeus, accusing Tehran of being "hell-bent on acquiring 
nuclear weapons." Last week, Gates was out front again. "What the 
Iranians are doing is killing American servicemen and -women inside Iraq."
 
Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs, is now also pounding 
the war drum. Iran's "irresponsible influence," its support of terror 
and its pursuit of atomic weapons, he said last week, is creating a 
"perfect nightmare" for the region. The Pentagon, said the chairman, is 
planning for "potential military ... action" because of Iran's 
"increasingly lethal and malign influence."
 
"It would be a mistake to think that we are out of combat capacity," 
Mullen declared. A second U.S. carrier just entered the Persian Gulf.
 
CBS reports that a target list of U.S. military planners includes the 
headquarters of the Quds Force and plants where Iran produces enhanced 
IEDs and the rockets used against the Green Zone. The network also 
reports that the State Department has begun drafting an ultimatum.
 
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Zalmal Khalilzad has chimed in: 
"Iran and Syria must stop the flow of weapons and foreign fighters into 
Iraq, and their malign interference in Iraq."
 
Iraqi Maj. Gen. Qasim Atta says 700 rockets and mortars have been fired 
at Coalition forces and the Green Zone, and most of the "Katyusha and 
Grad rockets and smart roadside bombs" were Iranian-made. The U.S. 
military is preparing a dossier on Iran's role in the Iraq war.
 
In the Landon Lecture at Kansas State, CIA Director Michael Hayden 
declared, "It ... is the policy of the Iranian government, approved to 
the highest level ... to facilitate the killing of Americans in Iraq." 
That day, State designated Iran the "most significant" and "most active" 
state sponsor of terror on earth.
 
 From the White House to State to the Pentagon to CIA, the Bush 
administration is now singing from the same song sheet: Iran's Quds 
Force, with the knowledge of President Ahmadinejad, is arming and 
directing "special groups" to kill U.S. soldiers and prevent a U.S. 
victory.
 
Is the White House rattling sabers to prod Iran into talks?
 
Perhaps. But the administration has also painted itself, and us, into a 
corner with the war talk. And there are only three ways out.
 
The first is that Iran halts the attacks, ends its intervention and 
negotiates on the six-nation offer. The second is that Iran rejects the 
deal, refuses to stop the attacks and U.S. air strikes begin.
 
The third is that Bush is bluffing and goes home railing against an 
axis-of-evil nation killing American soldiers, having done nothing.
 
With Israel, the Israeli lobby, the neocons and Dick Cheney insisting on 
air strikes, and even Hillary Clinton talking about Iran being 
"obliterated," the last course would seem the least probable.
 
We are likely headed either for negotiations with Iran or war, after 
Bush returns from the 60th anniversary celebration of Israel's birth.
 
"To jaw-jaw is always better than to war-war," said Winston Churchill in 
1954, whose career often contradicted his wise counsel.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
/Mr. Buchanan is a nationally syndicated columnist and author of /"The 
Death of the West,"/ /"The Great Betrayal," 
<http://www.hebookservice.com/bookpage.asp?prod_cd=C4860>/ /"A Republic, 
Not an Empire" 
<http://www.hebookservice.com/bookpage.asp?prod_cd=C5368>/ and /"Where 
the Right Went Wrong." 
<http://www.hebookservice.com/products/BookPage.asp?prod_cd=c6536>//
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